Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 46.526789 53.385486 60.514250 68.445337 76.991524 85.894207 95.840180
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 35.473530 44.987973 55.454449 67.690449 81.475757 96.409272 113.694152
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.654996 39.383264 51.717004 66.670154 84.049041 103.375131 126.260701
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.162790 35.724609 49.544220 66.820938 87.414314 110.792189 138.964510
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.656647 32.753169 47.746702 67.013665 90.488685 117.606580 150.762773
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.003599 30.512930 46.550259 67.672292 93.903575 124.658501 162.719753
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.184220 27.699458 44.337959 66.819272 95.282568 129.148349 171.556852
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.539576 26.315352 43.826625 67.983570 99.039530 136.414778 183.643353
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.227537 25.253347 43.625216 69.452473 103.111024 144.026576 196.135968
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.385531 23.164844 41.837330 68.687475 104.241968 147.965091 204.150588
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.488784 20.734317 39.365498 66.833057 103.835549 149.899856 209.649842
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.020548 20.620198 40.221104 69.505375 109.311394 159.179831 224.173858
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.317975 20.034700 40.353623 71.188886 113.541601 166.986107 237.020541
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.088188 18.325351 38.659055 70.209938 114.179034 170.219196 244.201732
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.019116 16.736204 37.016768 69.195316 114.683120 173.221352 251.053066
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.303327 15.730427 36.220867 69.345433 116.721512 178.168232 260.334333
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.683010 14.813807 35.495408 69.543247 118.788215 183.133133 269.636653
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.208278 14.135183 35.113748 70.217082 121.490948 188.919413 279.988577
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.583397 12.951141 33.763835 69.344255 121.981178 191.774432 286.592670
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.290407 12.550962 33.765629 70.535579 125.371250 198.454771 298.105354
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.061884 12.278381 33.974178 72.038333 129.204124 205.733718 310.411621
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.629047 11.286424 32.773489 71.255740 129.729894 208.589750 317.013063
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.173486 10.022819 30.935884 69.358359 128.576709 209.148052 320.605741